Izimo zemakethe yensimbi zamanje zifaka phakathi ukululama okuhamba kancane kodwa okuzinzile. Isidingo sensimbi yomhlaba wonke kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule futhi ngonyaka ozayo, yize amazinga enzalo aphezulu kanye neminye ithonya lamazwe ngamazwe—kanye nesiteleka sabasebenzi bezimoto base-United States eDetroit, eMich—siqhubeka nokuba nomthelela ekushintsheni kwesidingo kanye namanani athinta ikusasa lemboni yensimbi.
Imboni yensimbi iyithuluzi elibalulekile lokulinganisa umnotho womhlaba. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kwakamuva e-US, amazinga aphezulu okwehla kwamandla emali, kanye nezinkinga zochungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kwempahla, kokubili ngaphakathi nasemhlabeni jikelele, yizinto ezibalulekile ezenzakalayo emakethe yensimbi, yize kubonakala sengathi azilungele ukuphazamisa ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kwesidingo sensimbi emazweni amaningi kanye namazinga okukhula ahlangatshezwana nawo ngo-2023.
Ngemuva kokubuya okungu-2.3% ngo-2023, i-World Steel Association (worldsteel) ibikezela ukukhula okungu-1.7% kwesidingo sensimbi yomhlaba wonke ngo-2024, ngokusho kombiko wayo wakamuva we-Short Range Outlook (SRO). Nakuba kulindeleke ukuthi ukwehla kwesivinini eShayina, imboni yensimbi ehamba phambili emhlabeni, iningi lomhlaba lilindele ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sikhule. Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-International Stainless Steel Forum (worldstainless) ibikezela ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi engagqwali emhlabeni wonke kuzokhula ngo-3.6% ngo-2024.
E-US, lapho umnotho ubuye wabuyela emuva ngemva kobhubhane, umsebenzi wokukhiqiza uye wehla, kodwa ukukhula kufanele kuqhubeke emikhakheni efana nengqalasizinda yomphakathi kanye nokukhiqizwa kwamandla. Ngemva kokwehla ngo-2.6% ngo-2022, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi e-US kwehle ngo-1.3% ngo-2023 futhi kulindeleke ukuthi kukhule futhi ngo-2.5% kuze kube ngu-2024.
Kodwa-ke, ushintsho olulodwa olungalindelekile olungathinta kakhulu imboni yensimbi kulo nyaka wonke kanye no-2024 yingxabano eqhubekayo yabasebenzi phakathi kwenyunyana i-United Auto Workers (UAW) kanye nabakhiqizi bezimoto "abayi-Big Three"—i-Ford, i-General Motors, kanye ne-Stellantis.
Uma isiteleka siqhubeka isikhathi eside, kukhiqizwa izimoto ezimbalwa, okudala isidingo esincane sensimbi. Insimbi ithatha okungaphezu kwesigamu sokuqukethwe kwemoto evamile, ngokusho kwe-American Iron and Steel Institute, futhi cishe u-15% wezimpahla zensimbi zasekhaya zase-US ziya embonini yezimoto. Ukwehla kwesidingo sensimbi ecwiliswe ngokushisa kanye ne-flat-rolled kanye nokwehla kwezinsalela zensimbi zokukhiqiza izimoto kungabangela ukushintsha okukhulu kwentengo emakethe.
Ngenxa yobuningi bensimbi eqoshiwe evame ukuvela ekukhiqizweni kwezimoto, ukwehla kokukhiqizwa kanye nesidingo sensimbi ngenxa yesiteleka kungabangela ukwenyuka okukhulu kwamanani ensimbi eqoshiwe. Okwamanje, izinkulungwane zamathani emikhiqizo engasetshenziswanga esele emakethe kuholela ekwehleni kwamanani ensimbi. Ngokusho kombiko wakamuva ovela ku-EUROMETAL, amanani ensimbi eqoshiwe futhi eshisiwe aqala ukuncipha emavikini aholela esitelekeni se-UAW futhi afinyelela amaphuzu awo aphansi kakhulu kusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari 2023.
I-SRO ye-Worldsteel iphawula ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwezimoto nezimoto ezilula e-US kwehle ngo-8% ngo-2023 futhi kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke ngo-7% owengeziwe ngo-2024. Kodwa-ke, akucaci ukuthi lesi siteleka singathinta kangakanani ukuthengiswa, ukukhiqizwa, kanye nesidingo sensimbi.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Disemba 12-2023
